Omens are dark and soulless things if you believe in them, but only if you believe in them. And right now, at the dawn of a new and probably even more insane year, the Blob refuses to do so.
Which means I do not think Ohio State's flameout against Miami in the Cotton Bowl last night bodes nothing in particular for Indiana in the Rose Bowl today.
The usual trolls were out in force this morning after the Hurricanes paved the Buckeyes 24-14, saying the Big Ten was overrated like they all said, and therefore undefeated and No. 1 Indiana is destined to go down to mighty three-loss Alabama of the mighty SEC. One internet creature said the Buckeyes' loss convinced him to jack his prediction from Alabama by 10 to Alabama by 17.
Why? Well, because the Big Ten sucks and the Mighty SEC is a juggernaut juggenaut-ing its way over every other loser conference in college football.
The Blob is a firm non-believer in that doctrine.
I'm a firm non-believer because the Big Ten has already whipped up on several SEC schools this bowl season, to begin with. And I'm a firm non-believer because the dynamics of every game hit different because every team in those games is different.
Against Miami, for instance, the Buckeyes faced a team that could match them physically up front -- just as they did against Indiana in the Big Ten championship game. They also faced a team that, since being surprised by SMU on Nov. 1, had crushed everything in its path, outscoring its opponents 161-44. That included a first-round CFP silencing of Texas A&M, which came in averaging 34 points per game and managed just three in a 10-3 loss to the Hurricanes.
In their previous five games, the 'Canes had held opponents to a tick under nine points per. Ohio State's O-line, on the other hand, had been exposed by Indiana, which sacked Julian Sayin five times and registered nine tackles for loss. So it perhaps figured the Bucks were going to have trouble with Miami's voracious D.
The game this afternoon?
It says here Indiana should win, because the Hoosiers simply objectively better. They also can run the football if they have to, and Alabama cannot. In its 34-24 win over Oklahoma in a first-round CFP game, the Crimson Tide scratched out just 28 yards on 25 carries. That's a robust 1.1 yards per attempt.
The Sooners, meanwhile, blew a 17-point lead, giving up 27 straight points and handing 'Bama some early Christmas gifts: A punt that was blocked, another punt that was fumbled, and a pick six. That sort of unraveling isn't likely to happen against Indiana, a profoundly focused team which rarely makes mistakes and never beats itself.
This does not mean the Rose Bowl will be without thorns for the Hoosiers, however. It doesn't even mean they'll win, because Alabama has its usual complement of deluxe skill players. So it's not inconceivable the Crimson Tide could pull the upset and set the internet trolls to trolling again.
However ...
However, the Blob sees this in his murky crystal ball: Indiana 26, Alabama 21.
Onward.